Receipt summary — not a verdict

This member's profile: SEVERE — 7.8% of PAC dollars from tagged committees; 100% on pinned Israel/aid votes since 2024. Correlation ≠ causation — the filings are still real.

Adam Smith

Rep. WA-9

Principal committee C00304709 · Schedule A →

SEVERE

PAC dependency

7.8%

Share of PAC dollars from tagged committees (2024 cycle).

Tagged / total PAC

$62,155 / $795,854

Numerator and denominator for the dependency ratio — every line links to FEC.

Peer context

More PAC-dependent on tagged committees than 97% of House colleagues.

Tagged committee	FEC ID	Amount	Source
American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC	C00797670	$52,705	Receipts · Committee
JStreetPAC	C00441949	$9,450	Receipts · Committee

Score rule: influence_formula_v1

Margin test 🍌

Tagged PAC $62,155 · 2024 general margin 273,381 votes (0.23×)

Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives →

Post–Oct 7 delta

PAC dependency ratio before vs after 7 Oct 2023 (PAS2 transaction dates, 2024 cycle).

5.1%

Pre–Oct 7

9.6%

Post–Oct 7

+4.5pp

Change

Influence stack

Layer toggles

Default ON: direct PAC + documented IE. LDA and FARA live in separate sections — we never merge buckets.

Direct PACOn
Objective
FEC committee → candidate contributions (PAS2 bulk). Default ON.
LDA lobbying
Fuzzy match
Lobbying Disclosure Act filings — confidence-scored member links. Separate bucket.
Open →
FARA foreign gov
Separate tab
Foreign-agent registration spend — never merged with domestic PAC totals.
Open →

Share card

Screenshot-ready receipt — OG image at /share/S000510.png

Influence breakdown

PAC dependency8

Pinned vote alignment100

Committee relevance (Israel/aid/arming)25

Influence Mixer

Argue with the formula like a drunk poli-sci major

Your priors move, the FEC filings don't.

Sliders re-weight the editorial composite for Adam Smith. The filings are fixed; your priors are adjustable — like Congress, but honest about it. Top-level split stays 55% electoral / 45% legislative.

Electoral — PAC dependencyElectoral — primary / IE pressureLegislative — pinned vote alignmentLegislative — committee / arms relevance

Live composite (monkey-adjusted)

SEVERE

Schedule A earmarked conduit (tagged PACs)

FEC bulk itcont earmarks via tagged committees (2024 cycle) — semi-objective bucket; never merged into PAC dependency %.

$256,269 · 156 sample lines indexed

$6,600 · American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC
$6,600 · American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC
$6,600 · American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC
$6,600 · American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC
$6,600 · American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC
$6,600 · American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC
$6,600 · American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC
$5,000 · American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC
$3,300 · American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC
$3,300 · American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC
$3,300 · American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC
$3,300 · American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC
$3,300 · American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC
$2,500 · American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC
$2,500 · American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC

LD-203 lobbyist conduit contributions

Registrant/lobbyist-hosted contributions to committees honoring this member — lda.gov LD-203 filings since 2023. Separate bucket from FEC Schedule A PAC receipts above.

$35,450 across 10 itemized lines · American Israel Public Affairs Committee, J Street

$1,000 · 2025-05-01 · J StreetADAM SMITH FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEELD-203 filing →
$5,000 · 2025-02-26 · American Israel Public Affairs CommitteeADAM SMITH FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEELD-203 filing →
$5,000 · 2024-09-27 · J StreetADAM SMITH FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEELD-203 filing →
$2,450 · 2024-06-27 · J StreetADAM SMITH FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEELD-203 filing →
$5,000 · 2023-11-08 · American Israel Public Affairs CommitteeADAM SMITH FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEELD-203 filing →
$1,000 · 2023-09-28 · J StreetADAM SMITH FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEELD-203 filing →
$1,000 · 2023-09-28 · J StreetADAM SMITH FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEELD-203 filing →
$5,000 · 2023-07-17 · American Israel Public Affairs CommitteeADAM SMITH FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEELD-203 filing →
$5,000 · 2023-07-06 · American Israel Public Affairs CommitteeADAM SMITH FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEELD-203 filing →
$5,000 · 2023-06-26 · American Israel Public Affairs CommitteeADAM SMITH FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEELD-203 filing →

Pinned votes

H.R. 815 Israel supplemental — HouseYeaRoll call →
NDAA FY2024 conference — HouseYeaRoll call →
H.R. 815 rule — HouseYeaRoll call →
Further Consolidated Approps — HouseYeaRoll call →

LDA — bills you voted on that registrants lobbied

Fuzzy overlap from lda.gov filing text — separate legal bucket from PAC $. Not LD-203 conduit data.

AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE lobbied on H.R. 815lda.gov →
J STREET lobbied on H.R. 815lda.gov →

Severity is an editorial composite from public records.See the math →