Receipt summary — not a verdict

This member's profile: HIGH — 90.1% of PAC dollars from tagged committees; $4,218,074 tagged IE primary pressure. Correlation ≠ causation — the filings are still real.

Sarah Elfreth

Rep. MD-3

Principal committee C00855353 · Schedule A →

HIGH

PAC dependency

90.1%

Share of PAC dollars from tagged committees (2024 cycle).

Tagged / total PAC

$4,223,792 / $4,687,817

Numerator and denominator for the dependency ratio — every line links to FEC.

Peer context

More PAC-dependent on tagged committees than 100% of House colleagues.

Tagged committee	FEC ID	Amount	Source
United Democracy Project	C00799031	$4,218,792	Receipts · Committee
American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC	C00797670	$5,000	Receipts · Committee

Score rule: influence_formula_v1

Margin test 🍌

Tagged PAC $ exceeded the vote margin. The math has no respect for decorum.

Tagged PAC $4,223,792 vs 85,495-vote general election margin (49.4×). Correlation ≠ causation — both figures link to primary sources. Your monkey brain will draw conclusions anyway.

Maryland State Board of Elections →

Post–Oct 7 delta

PAC dependency ratio before vs after 7 Oct 2023 (PAS2 transaction dates, 2024 cycle).

99.9%

Pre–Oct 7

1.1%

Post–Oct 7

-98.8pp

Change

Influence stack

Layer toggles

Default ON: direct PAC + documented IE. LDA and FARA live in separate sections — we never merge buckets.

Direct PACOn
Objective
FEC committee → candidate contributions (PAS2 bulk). Default ON.
LDA lobbying
Fuzzy match
Lobbying Disclosure Act filings — confidence-scored member links. Separate bucket.
Open →
FARA foreign gov
Separate tab
Foreign-agent registration spend — never merged with domestic PAC totals.
Open →

Share card

Screenshot-ready receipt — OG image at /share/E000301.png

Influence breakdown

PAC dependency90

Committee relevance (Israel/aid/arming)25

Primary pressure (tagged IE)

$4,218,074

Support $4,218,074 · Oppose $0

Influence Mixer

Argue with the formula like a drunk poli-sci major

Your priors move, the FEC filings don't.

Sliders re-weight the editorial composite for Sarah Elfreth. The filings are fixed; your priors are adjustable — like Congress, but honest about it. Top-level split stays 55% electoral / 45% legislative.

Electoral — PAC dependencyElectoral — primary / IE pressureLegislative — pinned vote alignmentLegislative — committee / arms relevance

Live composite (monkey-adjusted)

HIGH

Schedule A earmarked conduit (tagged PACs)

FEC bulk itcont earmarks via tagged committees (2024 cycle) — semi-objective bucket; never merged into PAC dependency %.

$1,500 · 3 sample lines indexed

$1,000 · American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC
$250 · American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC
$250 · American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC

LD-203 lobbyist conduit contributions

Registrant/lobbyist-hosted contributions to committees honoring this member — lda.gov LD-203 filings since 2023. Separate bucket from FEC Schedule A PAC receipts above.

$5,000 across 1 itemized lines · American Israel Public Affairs Committee

$5,000 · 2026-06-10 · American Israel Public Affairs CommitteeELFRETH FOR MARYLANDLD-203 filing →

Severity is an editorial composite from public records.See the math →