Receipt summary — not a verdict

This member's profile: MODERATE — 2.7% of PAC dollars from tagged committees. Correlation ≠ causation — the filings are still real.

Michael Baumgartner

Rep. WA-5

Principal committee C00870758 · Schedule A →

MODERATE

PAC dependency

2.7%

Share of PAC dollars from tagged committees (2024 cycle).

Tagged / total PAC

$10,000 / $374,272

Numerator and denominator for the dependency ratio — every line links to FEC.

Peer context

More PAC-dependent on tagged committees than 84% of House colleagues.

Tagged committee	FEC ID	Amount	Source
American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC	C00797670	$10,000	Receipts · Committee

Score rule: influence_formula_v1

Margin test 🍌

Tagged PAC $10,000 · 2024 general margin 84,545 votes (0.12×)

Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives →

Post–Oct 7 delta

PAC dependency ratio before vs after 7 Oct 2023 (PAS2 transaction dates, 2024 cycle).

0.0%

Pre–Oct 7

2.7%

Post–Oct 7

+2.7pp

Change

Influence stack

Layer toggles

Default ON: direct PAC + documented IE. LDA and FARA live in separate sections — we never merge buckets.

Direct PACOn
Objective
FEC committee → candidate contributions (PAS2 bulk). Default ON.
LDA lobbying
Fuzzy match
Lobbying Disclosure Act filings — confidence-scored member links. Separate bucket.
Open →
FARA foreign gov
Separate tab
Foreign-agent registration spend — never merged with domestic PAC totals.
Open →

Share card

Screenshot-ready receipt — OG image at /share/B001322.png

Influence breakdown

PAC dependency3

Committee relevance (Israel/aid/arming)25

Influence Mixer

Argue with the formula like a drunk poli-sci major

Your priors move, the FEC filings don't.

Sliders re-weight the editorial composite for Michael Baumgartner. The filings are fixed; your priors are adjustable — like Congress, but honest about it. Top-level split stays 55% electoral / 45% legislative.

Electoral — PAC dependencyElectoral — primary / IE pressureLegislative — pinned vote alignmentLegislative — committee / arms relevance

Live composite (monkey-adjusted)

MODERATE

Schedule A earmarked conduit (tagged PACs)

FEC bulk itcont earmarks via tagged committees (2024 cycle) — semi-objective bucket; never merged into PAC dependency %.

$250 · 1 sample lines indexed

$250 · American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC

LD-203 lobbyist conduit contributions

Registrant/lobbyist-hosted contributions to committees honoring this member — lda.gov LD-203 filings since 2023. Separate bucket from FEC Schedule A PAC receipts above.

$20,000 across 4 itemized lines · American Israel Public Affairs Committee

$5,000 · 2026-03-03 · American Israel Public Affairs CommitteeVOTE BAUMGARTNER FOR CONGRESSLD-203 filing →
$5,000 · 2025-11-19 · American Israel Public Affairs CommitteeVOTE BAUMGARTNER FOR CONGRESSLD-203 filing →
$5,000 · 2024-10-25 · American Israel Public Affairs CommitteeVOTE BAUMGARTNER FOR CONGRESSLD-203 filing →
$5,000 · 2024-10-25 · American Israel Public Affairs CommitteeVOTE BAUMGARTNER FOR CONGRESSLD-203 filing →

Severity is an editorial composite from public records.See the math →